June 9, 2014

The middle class is even worse off than the numbers show

From Yahoo Finance

The middle class is even worse off than the numbers show

By Rick Newman
Mon, Jun 9, 2014

The "average" American worker earns about $44,000 per year and saves around 4% of his income. And the "average" household has a net worth of approximately $710,000, including the value of homes, investments, bank accounts and so on. But many Americans, needless to say, fall well below those benchmarks, which fail to capture widespread financial distress.

The gargantuan fortunes of the rich have become a cause célèbre scrutinized by, among others, French economist Thomas Piketty in his surprise bestseller, Capital in the 21st Century. Now, the growing gap between the rich and the rest may be distorting numbers long used to gauge the health of the middle class.

The rich have always skewed wealth and income data to some extent, since they pull up averages and make ordinary people seem a bit better off than they really are. But the outsized gains of the super-rich during the past 25 years have become so disproportionate that some measures of prosperity may be losing their relevance. “When wealth and income are as concentrated as they are, examining the ‘average’ consumer or ‘average’ investor makes little sense,” economists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch wrote in a recent report.

Americans falling behind

This may help explain why the economy seems to be gaining strength — on paper — yet millions of ordinary people feel like they’re falling behind. Americans’ total net worth, for instance, recently hit a new high of $81.8 trillion, thanks to a five-year stock market rally and the gradual restoration of home equity lost during a six-year housing bust. Yet consumer spending remains tepid, home buyers seem to be hibernating and an alarming portion of adults aren’t even looking for work. Polls show widespread pessimism that’s out of sync with an economy supposedly heading into its fifth year of expansion.

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Negative Interest Rates Are Here!

From Daily Wealth

Negative Interest Rates Are Here!
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Friday, June 6, 2014

"Negative Interest Rates Are Coming." That was the headline to my April 1 DailyWealth.

No, it wasn't an April Fools' Day joke... I was serious. I was right...

Just yesterday, Mario Draghi – the head of the European Central Bank – cut short-term interest rates to below zero in Europe.

I said this was likely to happen. And I told you what you should do about it. Here's what I wrote:

  • Much of Europe could see negative interest rates – soon. 
  • What will happen then? You already know... Savers will get clobbered. People will borrow money. And asset prices will go up.
  • So what should you do? 
  • Own assets. Own stocks and real estate, both in Europe and in the U.S.
  • Know that you will sell those assets someday. You know that the rise in asset prices will be built on ultra-low (and potentially negative) interest rates around the globe. And you know that those ultra-low interest rates will have to end someday. You don't want to go down with the ship.

That was exactly the right advice...

As I write, European stocks are breaking out to new 5-year highs (based on shares of the SPDR Euro Stoxx Fund (FEZ), the main European stock fund). And U.S. stocks are hitting all-time highs.

That advice still stands today...

We saw what happened in the U.S. when Ben Bernanke pulled out all the stops to stimulate the U.S. economy... He created what I call the Bernanke Asset Bubble. U.S. stock prices soared.

Now, Mario Draghi is following Bernanke's playbook... He's pulling out all the stops, and he has cut interest rates to below zero. Call it the Draghi Asset Bubble if you'd like... it is definitely the sequel to the Bernanke Asset Bubble.

So what should you do? Follow the blueprint that Draghi is following...

Read more from Daily Wealth